Is It Possible for CPGs and Retailers to Both See Profit Boosts?

Both CPGs and retailers are under immense pressures for different reasons, operating with different objectives. See how a well-built, joint business plan can deliver incremental profit pool growth for both sides.

It is if they work together.

Relations between CPGs and their retail partners have fallen to their lowest level in 5 years, according to a 2021 report by management consultants Bain & Company. According to the firm, the main cause has been a short-sighted approach on both sides that has favored short-term sales targets. CPGs and retailers alike face their share of challenges: CPGs are under immense cost pressure, especially with rising raw materials and logistics costs. Meanwhile, retailers have had to defend their market share against new entrants, such as deep discounters. In addition, the trend toward smaller store formats and the rapid growth of online commerce has further upset the balance. However, according to Bain, a well-devised, joint business plan can deliver more than 10% of incremental profit pool growth for both the brand and retailer in a single year providing they work together intelligently.

The report, which focused on CPGs and retailers in Europe, concluded that only one in four joint annual plans actually manages to create value for both parties, and that instead of building incremental value, 59% of trade promotions merely subsidize baseline sales. They suggest that the traditional, strategic moves from CPGs like launching a new, above-the-line television campaign or new brand extension, are running out of steam and losing effectiveness.

The growing friction between CPGs and retailers is real. In 2016, the UK’s largest grocery retailer, Tesco, delisted nearly all of Unilever’s products after the manufacturer asked for a 10% price increase across its iconic brand portfolio. The CPG’s price increase was blamed on the pound’s fall against the euro and the US dollar. In 2016, Unilever had a 32% share of all the UK’s ice cream and frozen dessert sales, 21% share of all table sauces, and 19% share of butter and margarine sales according to Euromonitor. The disagreement was rapidly resolved, but this example shows what can happen when negotiations fail

The only sustainable solution is to collaborate closely and grow profits together.

According to Bain & Company’s research that was published in 2021, the best CPGs are able to deliver a 10% increase in joint profit pool growth in a single year by doing 5 things differently:

  1. The best CPGs understand both their own and their retailers’ strategies
    Getting deep under the skin of the retailer’s P&L enables the CPG to appreciate their business strategy, their most important KPIs, and ultimately how value is delivered to the end consumer. By listening to the other side’s needs and being able to articulate how a CPG initiative will build value is much more likely to get retailers onside.
  2. Deliver up to 20% more incremental sales and profit for both parties through an assortment optimization program
    Legacy approaches to store assortment and clustering can lead to high levels of item cannibalization. Limited shelf space often means an ongoing battle between CPG and retailers on which SKUs to stock, how much space to allocate in which stores, and whether a product should be delisted.CPGs had previously been held back without the means to optimize assortments at the lowest, most granular level. However, a cloud-based platform can create optimized assortment decisions at scale, right down to individual store level. This gives clear direction on product mix, space elasticity, and pricing, and a truly optimized assortment has the potential to significantly drive volume and profit for both parties. The latest platforms are able to run millions of what-if scenarios in a matter of seconds, giving real-time insight that allows a proactive assortment approach. The results ensure customers get the value they need, whilst the CPG and the retailer can make the most out of every bit of shelf space.
  3. Take a medium-term view to deliver a business plan
    Both CPGs and retailers have monthly, quarterly, and annual revenue and profit targets to hit, as well as shareholders and stakeholders to satisfy. Delivering a successful joint business plan is not a quick fix, and therefore it will take bold leaders who are prepared to invest at least a couple years in order to deliver a properly-executed joint profit plan. As a CPG, you should have a 3-year plan for each of your most important retailers with an imperative of not being distracted by only focusing on monthly sales targets.
  4. Build trust and transparency
    Strong relationships are built between people. Beyond the written business plans and agreements, invest in building strong relationships with all the key people within your retail partners. Build these not only with c-suite executives or VPs, but with the people who will actually deliver the day-to-day strategy. This includes category managers, buyers, and shopper marketing directors. Build a real understanding of the KPIs they track. What does success look like to them? How are they being appraised? Then, arm yourself with data that gives them the confidence to buy into your CPG’s initiatives, whether it’s store assortment, a new range, or a price change. If you’ve got granular data to prove something, then you’re halfway there.
  5. Break down silos within your CPG
    Most CPGs have teams dedicated to their most important retailers to bring people together from commercial, category, sales, marketing, manufacturing, and logistics.Whilst people from these disciplines do work together on projects, it is incredibly challenging to avoid a siloed mentality. There are many widely-cited solutions to the siloing issue, and hundreds of management books have been written about it. However, taking a pragmatic approach to ensure teams are collectively responsible for delivering the retailer’s P&L with common goals and objectives is the key. Ensure the collective responsibility is mandated from the highest level of leadership within your CPG so it has a real sense of purpose and gravitas.

3 Ways CPGs Use AI to Increase ROI

Every CPG strives to maximize its return on the money and effort it places into investments. The question is:

Which parts of these investments will drive the biggest and most certain returns?

Optimized category management, assortment planning, and revenue growth management are the key factors to success, profits, and market share.

Don’t take chances on your success – using artificial intelligence to make decisions ensures optimal outcomes. Here’s how CPGs are using it:

1. Category Management

Spend precious technology and data dollars on the product most likely to help you succeed. This means using a solution that continually monitors and uses data to create all outcome scenarios possible.

These scenarios use past, present, and future-possible data to show you and your retail partners which products should be on shelves and at what price.

Key benefits of AI-driven forecasting in category and assortment:

  • Selling the right quantity of product that accounts for upcoming sales, trends, advantage over competitors, and promotions
  • Better optimization of assortment ratios
  • Improved understanding of demand drivers and customer behavior, right down to the SKU level
  • Decreased lost sales / missed sales opportunities
  • Better alignment between products and locations where demand exists
  • Improved GMROI

An AI-based forecasting system, is a focused on the CPG major upgrade to existing systems where brands attempt to manually cluster and define data and patterns. Unsurprisingly, results are often disappointing and lead to lost sales and market share.

Store-level forecasting is a difficult endeavour with traditional systems, especially when CPGs are dealing with millions of possible product, price, and store combinations.

By alleviating the need for so much manual intervention and by accounting for so much information at any given time, artificial intelligence-based forecasting can deliver far more accurate decisions.

2. Revenue Growth Management

Advanced forecasting combines with historic sales with seasonality, trends, product lifecycle effects, and statistically-tested assumptions to improve accuracy. Increased accuracy is the single biggest driver of direct savings, revenue, and total return on
investment. Improvements to revenue growth management will be realised in the following ways:

  • Customized decisions for granular levels such as individual store, SKU, particular time, price elasticity, and demand changes
  • Making optimal pricing decisions to make you more money and take market share away from your competitors
  • Opportunity for improved use of strategic discounting

3. Operational Efficiency

In the face of increasing competition, CPGs are all looking to ensure their products remain a focus over their competitors, and that their retail accounts keep them top of mind.

More accurate simulations for decisions can help CPGs optimize category, assortment, trade fund, and pricing/promotion. This is while ensuring they’re able to offer retailer partners the right discounts and provide exact pricing recommendations for optimal outcomes on either side. It’s important that assortment is accurate at individual store levels, using both micro and macro views for trends, seasons, demand, and changes to ensure customer demands are being served at a granular level. Product imbalances often occur right after seasonal peaks. One of the biggest reasons CPGs fall into this trap is because they’re often forced to act retroactively with top-up orders, transfers, or pricing changes. Providers such as Insite AI provide highly accurate, data-driven scenario decisions at store levels ahead of time to keep ahead of competitors.

Contact Us to found out how you can increase ROI with the power of AI.